Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $18.2K·Volume $72.4K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$7,989 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.5K
72h +$16.0K
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 00:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$18.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $7,989 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.5K, +$16.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $162 |
| 3h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $39 |
| 3h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $348 |
| 3h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $124 |
| 3h ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $124 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $65 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $65 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $194 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $194 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $375 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $375 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $174 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $174 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $135 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $543 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $543 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $135 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $143 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $143 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,372 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,372 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $285 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $285 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $582 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $582 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $177 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $177 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $13 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $13 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $73 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $143 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $143 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $73 |
| 4h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $260 |