Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $367.0K·Volume $17.0M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
11
$257.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$14.8K
Smart money entered71¢91¢at 03:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$367.0K
Explanation
11 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $257.0K riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$14.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $118 |
| 3h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $71 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $199 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $270 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $86 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $52 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 21h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 21h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $0 |
| 21h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 22h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $50 |
| 22h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $100 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $200 |
| 1d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $200 |
| 1d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $37 |