Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
ActiveLiquidity $7,296·Volume $38.2K·Ends Dec 19, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$592
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:17(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 38d(Dec 19, 2026)Liquidity$7,296
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$592 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pelikMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $296 |
| 1d ago | pelikMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $296 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $48 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $37 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $20 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |