Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $14.9K·Volume $144.8K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes26%No75%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,950 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$118
72h +$1,959
Smart money entered74¢73¢at 07:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$14.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,950 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,950 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$118, +$1,959 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $90 |
| 19h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $1,866 |
| 1d ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $132 |
| 1d ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $132 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $67 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $103 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 55¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $58 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $56 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $224 |
| 3w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 55¢ | $54 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Sell | Yes | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $69 |
| 4w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $35 |
| 4w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 56¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $16 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Sell | Yes | 52¢ | $78 |
| 5w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $71 |
| 5w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $61 |
| 9w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $29 |
| 9w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 61¢ | $61 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $62 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $62 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $64 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $67 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 56¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 56¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $57 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $33 |
| 12w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $9 |
| 12w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $12 |
| 12w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $5 |