Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,119·Volume $17.8K·Ends Jan 15, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$267 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered81¢96¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 65d(Jan 15, 2027)Liquidity$1,119
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $267 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $267 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $130 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 62¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $53 |
| 3w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 85¢ | $34 |
| 5w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $197 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $411 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $133 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $13 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $17 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $6 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $11 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $48 |