Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $267·Volume $1,721·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes70%No30%
Smart money leans
Yes
64% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
64%price64%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,254 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,800
72h +$2,800
Smart money entered46¢64¢at 22:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$267
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,254 riding on it.
The price of 64% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 64¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,254 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,800, +$2,800 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $313 |
| 5h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $313 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $45 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $45 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $38 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $45 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $45 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $42 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $42 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $100 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $100 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $80 |
| 9h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $80 |
| 12h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $103 |
| 19h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $100 |
| 19h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $100 |
| 20h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $337 |
| 23h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $30 |
| 23h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $30 |