Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $16.0K·Volume $28.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,042 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$970
72h +$970
Smart money entered83¢97¢at Nov 10, 23:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$16.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,042 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,042 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$970, +$970 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $30 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $176 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $23 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $140 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $20 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $23 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $176 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $140 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $20 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $29 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $44 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $29 |
| 6h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $44 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $17 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $21 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 70¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $221 |
| 6d ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $156 |
| 6d ago | FakePollsTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $162 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 28¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 25¢ | $2 |