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Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $16.0K·Volume $28.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:58computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,042 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$970
72h +$970
Smart money entered83¢97¢at Nov 10, 23:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$16.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,042 riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,042 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$970, +$970 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:58
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes97¢$33
2h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes97¢$30
2h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes97¢$30
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$18
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$176
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$23
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$140
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$20
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$23
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$176
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$140
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$20
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$29
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$44
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$29
6h agomrworldwideTopBuyYes98¢$44
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$7
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$8
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$17
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$4
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$21
6d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo70¢$4
6d agoFakePollsTopBuyYes75¢$221
6d agoFakePollsTopBuyYes73¢$156
6d agoFakePollsTopBuyYes70¢$162
6d agothanksforplayinTopBuyNo28¢$26
1w ago0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMidBuyYes75¢$9
1w ago0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMidBuyYes75¢$13
1w ago0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMidBuyYes75¢$7
1w ago0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMidBuyYes75¢$9
1w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo24¢$5
2w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo25¢$2