Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
ActiveLiquidity $5,738·Volume $120.4K·Ends Dec 19, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,930
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:44(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 38d(Dec 19, 2026)Liquidity$5,738
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,930 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2,930 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 6.9¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $74 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1,451 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1,424 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1,898 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $247 |
| 6d ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $643 |
| 1w ago | .ethguyMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $781 |
| 1w ago | .ethguyMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $204 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 9.0¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | .ethguyMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $3,454 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $1,629 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $97 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $14 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $18 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $23 |
| 6w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $82 |
| 6w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $39 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $253 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $72 |
| 6w ago | .ethguyMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $91 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $13 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $13 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $23 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $20 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $18 |