Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $25.9K·Volume $61.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2027
Price now:Yes63%No38%
Smart money leans
Yes
63% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
63%price63%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$958 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered64¢63¢at 21:40(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 416d(Dec 31, 2027)Liquidity$25.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $958 riding on it.
The price of 63% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 63¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $958 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $11 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $52 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $83 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $765 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $76 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $88 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $61 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $173 |
| 6w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 36¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 37¢ | $13 |