Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $131.4K·Volume $353.5K·Ends Jan 28, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No51%
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,095 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$515
72h +$528
Smart money entered42¢52¢at 11:38Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 78d(Jan 28, 2027)Liquidity$131.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $1,095 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$515, +$528 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $26 |
| 20h ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $240 |
| 20h ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $240 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | MysticFindMid | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $179 |
| 1d ago | MysticFindMid | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $179 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $30 |
| 1w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $172 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $379 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $529 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $105 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $824 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $261 |
| 1w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $58 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $181 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $357 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $152 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $146 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $150 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $143 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $150 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $143 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $44 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $143 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $143 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 37¢ | $382 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $186 |
| 3w ago | MysticFindMid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $1,260 |
| 3w ago | TBill1Mid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $1,455 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $51 |
| 3w ago | piepedMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $311 |
| 3w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $448 |
| 3w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $41 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $252 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $424 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $106 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $83 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $33 |
| 4w ago | MysticFindMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $68 |