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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

ActiveLiquidity $131.4K·Volume $353.5K·Ends Jan 28, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No51%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:38computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,095 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$515
72h +$528
Smart money entered42¢52¢at 11:38Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 78d(Jan 28, 2027)Liquidity$131.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $1,095 riding on it.

The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$515, +$528 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:38
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo48¢$26
20h agoMysticFindMidBuyNo48¢$240
20h agoMysticFindMidBuyNo48¢$240
1d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo27¢$27
1d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo27¢$27
1d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo26¢$13
1d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo26¢$13
1d agoMysticFindMidSellYes77¢$179
1d agoMysticFindMidSellYes77¢$179
6d agopiepedMidSellYes78¢$5
6d agopiepedMidSellYes78¢$30
1w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes74¢$172
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$379
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$529
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$105
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$824
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$261
1w agopiepedMidBuyYes70¢$1
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes58¢$13
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes58¢$58
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes58¢$0
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes58¢$8
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$181
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$357
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$152
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$146
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$150
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$143
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$150
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$143
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$44
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$143
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$143
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo37¢$382
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo36¢$186
3w agoMysticFindMidSellYes63¢$1,260
3w agoTBill1MidSellYes63¢$1,455
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$36
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$2
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$51
3w agopiepedMidBuyYes62¢$20
3w agoshiifooMidBuyYes61¢$311
3w agoAnjunMidBuyNo44¢$448
3w agoAnjunMidBuyNo44¢$41
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$252
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$424
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$106
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$83
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$33
4w agoMysticFindMidBuyYes66¢$68