TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $770·Volume $22.4K·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:36computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$893 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$199
Smart money entered58¢100¢at 07:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$770
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $893 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $893 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$199 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:36
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo62¢$121
6d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes21¢$0
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes28¢$2
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes24¢$1
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes25¢$7
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes24¢$2
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes25¢$5
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes24¢$20
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes24¢$1
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$2
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$180
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$0
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$17
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$17
1w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidSellNo85¢$6
2w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidBuyNo59¢$421
2w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes50¢$15
3w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidBuyNo67¢$13
3w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidBuyNo67¢$33
3w ago0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754MidBuyNo58¢$695
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes52¢$10