Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $54.7K·Volume $451.9K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes92%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$6,860 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢92¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$54.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $6,860 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $6,860 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h ago | nmnrTop | Sell | Yes | 92¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $25 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $18 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $89 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $109 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $113 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $17 |
| 4d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $90 |
| 6d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $1,400 |
| 6d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $5,617 |
| 6d ago | Rebecca-95Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $153 |
| 6d ago | nmnrTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | nmnrTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $252 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $252 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $252 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $50 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $50 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $94 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $94 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $94 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $125 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $125 |
| 4w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $125 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $15 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $15 |
| 4w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $15 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $203 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $121 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $21 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $10 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $40 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $4 |
| 6w ago | nmnrTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $13 |
| 6w ago | 080526Top | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $2 |