Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $22.7K·Volume $7,051·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes45%No56%
Smart money leans
Yes
45% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
45%price45%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$430 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered28¢45¢at 07:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$22.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $430 riding on it.
The price of 45% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 28¢; the price was 45¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $430 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.