| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 292.2K | 4.5¢ | 5.4¢ | $15,926 | +$2,601 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 87.2K | 23¢ | 18¢ | $15,308 | -$4,727 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16.1K | 68¢ | 94¢ | $15,092 | +$4,192 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 476.5K | 2.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $15,010 | +$1,266 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.9K | 19¢ | 20¢ | $7,278 | +$346 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 17K | 45¢ | 32¢ | $5,481 | -$2,149 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 114.8K | 0.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $4,303 | +$3,409 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 316.2K | 0.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $3,953 | +$3,339 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.5K | 39¢ | 45¢ | $3,867 | +$544 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 64.3K | 5.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $3,570 | +$263 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 3.4K | 75¢ | 99¢ | $3,345 | +$822 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 31.5K | 11¢ | 9.3¢ | $2,946 | -$382 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 37.1K | 16¢ | 7.6¢ | $2,841 | -$3,043 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 4.3K | 48¢ | 62¢ | $2,673 | +$602 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 13.6K | 9.8¢ | 19¢ | $2,572 | +$1,236 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 8.9K | 20¢ | 26¢ | $2,311 | +$519 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19.6K | 5.6¢ | 12¢ | $2,280 | +$1,192 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 86¢ | 82¢ | $1,834 | -$89 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2K | 93¢ | 90¢ | $1,752 | -$60 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 84.5K | 2.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $1,563 | -$259 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | 90¢ | 96¢ | $1,480 | +$85 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.3K | 15¢ | 27¢ | $1,448 | +$653 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.6K | 85¢ | 33¢ | $1,197 | -$1,835 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | No | 1.2K | 73¢ | 93¢ | $1,117 | +$238 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42.7K | 1.9¢ | 2.4¢ | $1,047 | +$237 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 54.3K | 1.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $841 | +$223 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.3K | 17¢ | 65¢ | $810 | +$595 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.1K | 58¢ | 67¢ | $772 | +$108 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 111.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $500 | -$389 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.5K | 1.6¢ | 2.6¢ | $437 | +$173 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 277.8K | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $417 | -$716 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.6K | 4.2¢ | 4.6¢ | $401 | +$42 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 436.8 | 27¢ | 90¢ | $395 | +$277 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 6.9K | 28¢ | 4.9¢ | $338 | -$1,601 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 672.9 | 45¢ | 47¢ | $316 | +$14 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2K | 10¢ | 14¢ | $270 | +$65 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.3K | 18¢ | 2.5¢ | $263 | -$1,609 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 6K | 50¢ | 4.2¢ | $255 | -$2,751 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | 25¢ | 8.3¢ | $243 | -$496 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.2K | 39¢ | 4.5¢ | $236 | -$1,806 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 59.9K | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $209 | +$30 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | 25¢ | 12¢ | $196 | -$215 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 1.8K | 33¢ | 10¢ | $194 | -$423 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 244 | 90¢ | 73¢ | $178 | -$42 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 900 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $175 | +$34 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.6K | 1.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $154 | +$63 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 2K | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | $148 | -$247 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30.3K | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $137 | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 1.7K | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | $128 | -$118 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 773.7 | 14¢ | 16¢ | $125 | +$20 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22K | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $121 | +$11 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 777 | 2.5¢ | 15¢ | $115 | +$96 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 222 | 85¢ | 48¢ | $106 | -$83 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 4.1K | 14¢ | 2.5¢ | $105 | -$467 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 466.2 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $95 | +$46 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 222 | 79¢ | 38¢ | $84 | -$91 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 2.7K | 21¢ | 3.0¢ | $82 | -$501 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 400 | 73¢ | 19¢ | $76 | -$214 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 40¢ | 6.5¢ | $74 | -$387 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 766.4 | 46¢ | 9.6¢ | $74 | -$277 |
| Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | No | 73.3 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $67 | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 186.2 | 43¢ | 35¢ | $66 | -$13 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1.5K | 25¢ | 4.5¢ | $66 | -$301 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 2.2K | 6.8¢ | 2.9¢ | $66 | -$86 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 388.5 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $64 | +$6 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 670.8 | 44¢ | 8.5¢ | $57 | -$236 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 299.9 | 29¢ | 19¢ | $57 | -$31 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 56 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $52 | +$4 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | Yes | 222 | 20¢ | 23¢ | $51 | +$6 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 531.8 | 87¢ | 9.4¢ | $50 | -$413 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $50 | +$5 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | 5.9¢ | 2.6¢ | $41 | -$51 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | Yes | 40 | 8.0¢ | 97¢ | $39 | +$36 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 40 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $38 | +$4 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 969.4 | 17¢ | 3.7¢ | $36 | -$131 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 548.7 | 50¢ | 6.4¢ | $35 | -$241 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 13¢ | 1.6¢ | $35 | -$257 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.2K | 1.8¢ | 1.6¢ | $34 | -$6 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 66.7K | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $33 | -$33 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 661.2 | 30¢ | 5.0¢ | $33 | -$163 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $33 | +$2 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 569.7 | 38¢ | 5.5¢ | $31 | -$187 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | Yes | 496.1 | 50¢ | 6.0¢ | $30 | -$217 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 289 | 20¢ | 9.5¢ | $27 | -$32 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 32¢ | 2.5¢ | $26 | -$309 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 585.3 | 24¢ | 4.3¢ | $25 | -$117 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 322 | 72¢ | 7.8¢ | $25 | -$206 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 816.2 | 34¢ | 3.0¢ | $25 | -$250 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.2K | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $23 | -$118 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 81¢ | 39¢ | $19 | -$21 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 666 | 6.2¢ | 2.6¢ | $18 | -$23 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 20.2 | 40¢ | 83¢ | $17 | +$9 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 700 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | $15 | -$124 |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | Yes | 167.2 | 24¢ | 7.8¢ | $13 | -$28 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 357.5 | 26¢ | 3.4¢ | $12 | -$82 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 222 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | $12 | -$6 |
| Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 555 | 9.0¢ | 2.0¢ | $11 | -$39 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 38¢ | 5.5¢ | $11 | -$65 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7.3K | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | -$955 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 200 | 37¢ | 5.4¢ | $11 | -$63 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 240 | 66¢ | 4.5¢ | $11 | -$147 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | 342 | 11¢ | 2.8¢ | $10 | -$26 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 118.9 | 13¢ | 8.1¢ | $10 | -$6 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 3.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $9 | +$2 |
| Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 135 | 5.3¢ | 6.6¢ | $9 | +$2 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 96.7 | 37¢ | 9.0¢ | $9 | -$27 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 24¢ | 4.3¢ | $9 | -$40 |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | 60 | 13¢ | 11¢ | $6 | -$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 52 | 25¢ | 9.0¢ | $5 | -$8 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 773.7 | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $4 | -$6 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.7 | 38¢ | 2.5¢ | $4 | -$56 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 143.8 | 10¢ | 2.5¢ | $4 | -$11 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 25¢ | 1.5¢ | $3 | -$47 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | Yes | 40 | 73¢ | 7.0¢ | $3 | -$26 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$74 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$5 |
| Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas? | Texas | 150 | 62¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | -$92 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Yes | 943.3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 19¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Yes | 222 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | Yes | 530.1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$86 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 5 | 16¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | Yes | 25.1 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 222 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | Yes | 100 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? | Yes | 833 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$200 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 777.9 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 6.8K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$206 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 6.4K | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$358 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1.5K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$236 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 3.9K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$781 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | Yes | 322 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure? | No | 32.8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 400 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$175 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 200 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 15.1K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,768 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 888 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$52 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | Yes | 325.3 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$205 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 906.6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$157 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 200 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 200 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 284.2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 212.1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.5K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,257 |