| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 16K | 82¢ | 83¢ | $13,219 | +$26 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.6K | 82¢ | 89¢ | $9,421 | +$708 |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 8K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $7,939 | +$95 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 9K | 50¢ | 87¢ | $7,844 | +$3,344 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 7.1K | 84¢ | 91¢ | $6,453 | +$470 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | Yes | 4.3K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $4,302 | +$37 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 4.4K | 91¢ | 93¢ | $4,111 | +$67 |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 4.5K | 85¢ | 81¢ | $3,702 | -$166 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 3.9K | 85¢ | 92¢ | $3,564 | +$294 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 4K | 73¢ | 83¢ | $3,325 | +$414 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 4K | 74¢ | 78¢ | $3,147 | +$174 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15.5K | 14¢ | 17¢ | $2,564 | +$394 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 2.2K | 99¢ | 99¢ | $2,201 | +$1 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | No | 2.1K | 96¢ | 97¢ | $2,053 | +$22 |
| Will James Li win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election? | Yes | 1.9K | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1,887 | +$50 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.8K | 67¢ | 47¢ | $1,756 | -$756 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 1.6K | 82¢ | 97¢ | $1,561 | +$242 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.4K | 27¢ | 46¢ | $1,543 | +$623 |
| Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 2K | 82¢ | 77¢ | $1,520 | -$93 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | 85¢ | 98¢ | $1,498 | +$192 |
| Will Guy Cormier win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election? | Yes | 1.5K | 92¢ | 94¢ | $1,387 | +$26 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9K | 50¢ | 13¢ | $1,157 | -$3,344 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | 50¢ | 45¢ | $1,133 | -$117 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 1.1K | 98¢ | 98¢ | $1,108 | -$6 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 1.1K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1,105 | +$7 |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Yes | 1.1K | 92¢ | 95¢ | $1,054 | +$32 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.1K | 94¢ | 93¢ | $1,029 | -$15 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1K | 97¢ | 99¢ | $988 | +$20 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 5.5K | 11¢ | 17¢ | $961 | +$378 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.1K | 86¢ | 86¢ | $961 | +$6 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.1K | 72¢ | 74¢ | $819 | +$15 |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.9K | 37¢ | 37¢ | $731 | +$12 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.5K | 4.6¢ | 5.4¢ | $625 | +$97 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 596.4 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $578 | +$13 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 671.5 | 65¢ | 66¢ | $447 | +$12 |
| Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election? | No | 446 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $442 | +$22 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | No | 433 | 82¢ | 98¢ | $425 | +$71 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 425 | 68¢ | 92¢ | $393 | +$106 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 775.3 | 51¢ | 50¢ | $387 | -$10 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.4K | 4.8¢ | 4.8¢ | $354 | -$1 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 648 | 58¢ | 50¢ | $325 | -$52 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 337.7 | 85¢ | 93¢ | $314 | +$26 |
| Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | 14¢ | 19¢ | $313 | +$87 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.6K | 2.2¢ | 3.2¢ | $307 | +$98 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 519.5 | 54¢ | 57¢ | $299 | +$20 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 816.3 | 50¢ | 34¢ | $275 | -$132 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 282.1 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $251 | +$12 |
| Will Alexandre Curzi win the 2026 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie by-election? | No | 242 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $234 | +$16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2K | 21¢ | 18¢ | $224 | -$41 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 200 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $194 | +$17 |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 200.6 | 92¢ | 92¢ | $185 | -$1 |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 92¢ | $184 | +$6 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 236.3 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $183 | +$22 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 661.4 | 12¢ | 26¢ | $174 | +$91 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 177.8 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $173 | +$12 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 322 | 52¢ | 54¢ | $172 | +$5 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 265 | 57¢ | 60¢ | $159 | +$8 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 952.9 | 31¢ | 16¢ | $152 | -$143 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 150 | 86¢ | 97¢ | $146 | +$17 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 724 | 32¢ | 19¢ | $138 | -$91 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 7.6K | 2.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $126 | -$81 |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 123.4 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $123 | +$4 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.2K | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | $122 | -$111 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Almería in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 114.5 | 86¢ | 98¢ | $112 | +$14 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 110.1 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $104 | +$7 |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 110 | 82¢ | 92¢ | $101 | +$11 |
| Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 111 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $98 | +$9 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 703.4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $95 | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.7K | 69¢ | 5.5¢ | $94 | -$1,078 |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | No | 95.4 | 6.9¢ | 95¢ | $91 | +$84 |
| Will PSOE win 108-113 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 333 | 29¢ | 27¢ | $90 | -$7 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $87 | +$2 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 88¢ | 98¢ | $79 | +$8 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 78 | 77¢ | 96¢ | $75 | +$15 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.3K | 1.8¢ | 2.0¢ | $68 | +$8 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.2K | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | $62 | -$5 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 70 | 52¢ | 85¢ | $60 | +$23 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.1K | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $58 | +$6 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.1K | 1.4¢ | 1.8¢ | $58 | +$14 |
| Will PNV win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 249.4 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $57 | +$17 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.2K | 0.7¢ | 1.0¢ | $55 | +$18 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 57.1 | 79¢ | 93¢ | $53 | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 73¢ | 27¢ | $53 | -$93 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.3K | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $48 | +$0 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.7K | 1.4¢ | 2.8¢ | $47 | +$24 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 6.8K | 2.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $44 | -$95 |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 223 | 14¢ | 19¢ | $41 | +$10 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.6K | 2.6¢ | 2.5¢ | $41 | -$1 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.7K | 1.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $41 | +$13 |
| Will Michaela Krakowetz win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election? | No | 40 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $39 | -$0 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.2K | 0.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $39 | +$19 |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 39.4 | 69¢ | 97¢ | $38 | +$11 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 63.5 | 50¢ | 58¢ | $37 | +$5 |
| Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 333 | 11¢ | 11¢ | $35 | -$2 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 712.5 | 2.5¢ | 3.9¢ | $28 | +$10 |
| Will PNV win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 111 | 35¢ | 25¢ | $28 | -$11 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $27 | +$3 |
| Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 337.8 | 11¢ | 7.7¢ | $26 | -$10 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 29 | 58¢ | 81¢ | $24 | +$7 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 19.4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $19 | +$0 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 20.3 | 57¢ | 79¢ | $16 | +$4 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 150.1 | 11¢ | 9.4¢ | $14 | -$2 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.9K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $14 | -$14 |
| French election called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 868.2 | 9.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $13 | -$69 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 12.3 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $12 | -$0 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 23.3K | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $12 | -$30 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 70.1 | 28¢ | 12¢ | $8 | -$11 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $7 | -$1 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13.4K | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$88 |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4.4K | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $7 | -$8 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 875.8 | 1.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $7 | -$4 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 12.2K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $6 | -$69 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 32.8 | 21¢ | 17¢ | $6 | -$1 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $5 | -$3 |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026? | No | 4.7 | 81¢ | 95¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 20 | 8.6¢ | 21¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 7.9K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $4 | -$24 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 127.9 | 16¢ | 2.3¢ | $3 | -$18 |
| Will Shawn Fain win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 2.7 | 63¢ | 81¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.5K | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$21 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$7 |
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$7 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 45.9 | 7.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 17.4 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 67.8 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |