Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $10.9K·Volume $3,896·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes41%No59%
Smart money leans
Yes
41% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$450 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$459
Smart money entered40¢41¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$10.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $450 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 40¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $450 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$459 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $461 |