Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $8,856·Volume $3,018·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes59%No41%
Smart money leans
Yes
59% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
59%price59%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$269 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢59¢at 07:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$8,856
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $269 riding on it.
The price of 59% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 59¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $269 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.