Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $16.1K·Volume $5,576·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes79%No22%
Smart money leans
Yes
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$435 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered74¢79¢at 07:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$16.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $435 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $435 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $263 |
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $413 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $205 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $131 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $171 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $44 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $71 |