Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $542.1K·Volume $28.0M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$13.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢98¢at 12:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$542.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $13.6K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $13.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $267 |
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $2,077 |
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $40,955 |
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $4,044 |
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $15,516 |
| 3w ago | SlenderManTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1,004 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $166 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $96 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $984 |
| 4w ago | thoodrTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $27,017 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $642 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,830 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $966 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3,864 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $193 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $97 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,208 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $12 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $960 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $474 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $367 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $427 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $97 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $58 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $296 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $13,743 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $9,680 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3,872 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $189 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $15 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $333 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $436 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $22 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $251 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $358 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $340 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $367 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $457 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $261 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $34 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $388 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $18 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $51 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $11 |
| 4w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,056 |
| 4w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $196 |