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Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $57.9K·Volume $72.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes22%No78%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
81%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$13.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,095
72h +$3,432
Smart money entered76¢78¢at 07:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$57.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $13.0K riding on it.

The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,095, +$3,432 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
9h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$200
10h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$17
10h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$33
11h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$5
11h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$154
11h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$154
12h ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo77¢$385
16h agocongoterrierMidBuyNo76¢$574
16h agocongoterrierMidBuyNo76¢$317
16h agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidSellNo77¢$770
16h agoOptimus-MidBuyYes22¢$623
16h agoOptimus-MidBuyYes22¢$600
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$597
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$47
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$22
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$11
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$100
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$6
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$22
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$45
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$27
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$4
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$25
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$14
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$65
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$22
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$7
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$20
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$36
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$28
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$47
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$230
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$22
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$15
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$15
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$190
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$4
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$4
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$370
1d ago0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816MidBuyNo79¢$370
3d agoDragontreeMidBuyNo78¢$6,146
3d agocongoterrierMidBuyNo76¢$252
4d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo77¢$149
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo72¢$722
1w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo71¢$266
1w agoStarMasterMidSellNo71¢$886
3w agodebasedMidBuyNo72¢$733
3w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo71¢$10
3w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo71¢$24
3w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo71¢$31