Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $7,916·Volume $2,619·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$753 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 05:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 17d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$7,916
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $753 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $753 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x4d01…1645Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $567 |
| 3w ago | 0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $122 |
| 3w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $65 |