Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.8K·Volume $13.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$259 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢95¢at 07:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $259 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $259 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $238 |
| 6w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $22 |