Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $5,170·Volume $2,367·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes81%No20%
Smart money leans
Yes
82% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$315 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$338
Smart money entered69¢82¢at 07:15Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$5,170
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $315 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $315 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$338 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $162 |
| 1d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $162 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $268 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $97 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $26 |