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Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

ActiveLiquidity $71.8K·Volume $141.4K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes84%No16%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:08computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
16% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$420 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$14
72h +$782
Smart money entered15¢16¢at 00:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$71.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $420 riding on it.

The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 15¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $420 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$14, +$782 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:08
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo16¢$16
19h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$0
19h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$6
20h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$27
20h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$26
20h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$0
21h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$1
21h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$2
22h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$5
23h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
23h agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$4
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$4
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$1
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$1
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$18
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$30
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$30
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$5
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$5
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$3
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$4
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$4
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$2
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$5
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$2
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$5
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$38
1d agoRyxon21TopBuyNo15¢$37
1d agoCrypto-JoeTopBuyNo16¢$32
1d agoCrypto-JoeTopBuyNo16¢$32
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$9
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$9
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$7
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$7
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10
1d agoAddarashMidBuyNo16¢$10