Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $71.8K·Volume $141.4K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes84%No16%
Smart money leans
No
16% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$420 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$14
72h +$782
Smart money entered15¢16¢at 00:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$71.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $420 riding on it.
The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 15¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $420 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$14, +$782 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $16 |
| 19h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $0 |
| 19h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $6 |
| 20h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $27 |
| 20h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $26 |
| 20h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $0 |
| 21h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 21h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 22h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $5 |
| 23h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 23h ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $38 |
| 1d ago | Ryxon21Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | AddarashMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $10 |