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Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $42.9K·Volume $38.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes7%No93%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$3,840 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,133
Smart money entered89¢93¢at 07:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$42.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,840 riding on it.

The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,133 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agoeightpenguinsMidBuyNo91¢$2,095
3w agodebasedMidBuyNo84¢$1
3w agoAnjunMidBuyNo85¢$17
3w agoAnjunMidBuyNo85¢$26
3w agoAnjunMidBuyNo87¢$875
3w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo89¢$40
3w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidSellNo91¢$43
4w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidSellNo91¢$38
4w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidSellNo91¢$137
4w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo89¢$24
4w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo89¢$340
5w agomoonlight2020MidBuyNo89¢$41
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$277
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$7
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$17
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$24
8w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$5
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$13
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$22
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$11
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$26
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$18
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$40
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$6
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo84¢$3