Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $10.6K·Volume $2,468·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,192 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered98¢98¢at 05:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 17d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$10.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,192 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,192 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x4d01…1645Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $106 |
| 1w ago | 0xfe2d…da35Mid | Buy | No | 1.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | 0x4d01…1645Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $651 |
| 1w ago | 0x4d01…1645Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $357 |
| 1w ago | 0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | 0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709Mid | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $80 |