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French election called by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $21.2K·Volume $20.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:56computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$925 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered81¢97¢at 01:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$21.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $925 riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $925 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:56
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
No smart trades recorded yet.