Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $357.5K·Volume $2.1M·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
54%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$42.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢93¢at 00:18Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$357.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $42.2K riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $5,136 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $219 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $368 |
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $394 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,000 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $63 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,820 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $35 |
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $80 |
| 1w ago | dromedaryyMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $400 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $986 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $69 |
| 1w ago | qizhanMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $165 |
| 1w ago | dromedaryyMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | dromedaryyMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $325 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,152 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $198 |
| 1w ago | dromedaryyMid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $4,332 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $24 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $57,760 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $3,473 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9,000 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $910 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $76 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $182 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $800 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $546 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $182 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $303 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $303 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $546 |