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No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $11.8K·Volume $16.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:08computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$357 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered78¢97¢at 07:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $357 riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $357 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5w agoviniiTopBuyYes7.7¢$12
7w agoviniiTopBuyNo86¢$37
8w agoviniiTopBuyYes12¢$45
9w agoviniiTopBuyNo88¢$0
9w agoviniiTopBuyNo78¢$734
11w agoviniiTopSellNo84¢$283
12w agoviniiTopBuyNo71¢$245