| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 105K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $102,049 | +$3,060 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 86K | 82¢ | 92¢ | $78,690 | +$7,823 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 70.4K | 93¢ | 98¢ | $68,875 | +$3,376 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 73.6K | 82¢ | 89¢ | $65,511 | +$5,348 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 61.4K | 91¢ | 98¢ | $60,042 | +$4,250 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 61.1K | 94¢ | 98¢ | $59,855 | +$2,263 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 59.1K | 93¢ | 96¢ | $56,761 | +$1,854 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 59.9K | 97¢ | 94¢ | $56,446 | -$1,738 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 56.7K | 86¢ | 97¢ | $55,236 | +$6,403 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 56.1K | 91¢ | 96¢ | $54,058 | +$2,754 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 43.2K | 95¢ | 96¢ | $41,524 | +$348 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 42.8K | 88¢ | 92¢ | $39,384 | +$1,605 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 40K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $38,680 | +$880 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 37.5K | 95¢ | 98¢ | $36,664 | +$915 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.4K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $36,300 | +$883 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 36.6K | 93¢ | 97¢ | $35,551 | +$1,454 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 27.9K | 91¢ | 97¢ | $26,915 | +$1,552 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 29.6K | 94¢ | 90¢ | $26,504 | -$1,407 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 24.9K | 97¢ | 98¢ | $24,376 | +$304 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 23.4K | 91¢ | 97¢ | $22,831 | +$1,528 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 22K | 95¢ | 98¢ | $21,659 | +$765 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 23K | 85¢ | 93¢ | $21,494 | +$1,894 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.8K | 89¢ | 97¢ | $21,222 | +$1,850 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.3K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $21,069 | +$1,786 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.9K | 86¢ | 98¢ | $17,573 | +$2,235 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.5K | 94¢ | 96¢ | $16,885 | +$449 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 16.7K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $16,290 | +$317 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | No | 16.1K | 98¢ | 99¢ | $16,009 | +$166 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 18K | 91¢ | 87¢ | $15,573 | -$822 |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | No | 15.8K | 90¢ | 98¢ | $15,493 | +$1,314 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | No | 15.5K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $14,950 | +$284 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 15.7K | 89¢ | 94¢ | $14,728 | +$759 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 16K | 94¢ | 89¢ | $14,240 | -$830 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 13.7K | 94¢ | 98¢ | $13,435 | +$525 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 12.8K | 95¢ | 99¢ | $12,646 | +$497 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 14.9K | 92¢ | 84¢ | $12,557 | -$1,146 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | No | 12.4K | 96¢ | 97¢ | $11,989 | +$125 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 12K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $11,664 | +$236 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 11.5K | 97¢ | 99¢ | $11,342 | +$189 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 11.5K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $11,159 | +$271 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.7K | 80¢ | 96¢ | $10,307 | +$1,675 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 10.1K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $9,873 | +$140 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 9.8K | 92¢ | 93¢ | $9,071 | +$92 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 9.1K | 93¢ | 98¢ | $8,936 | +$461 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 8.8K | 97¢ | 98¢ | $8,620 | +$102 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 8.7K | 92¢ | 97¢ | $8,400 | +$401 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 8.8K | 92¢ | 94¢ | $8,261 | +$156 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 8K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $7,836 | +$172 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.5K | 96¢ | 99¢ | $7,440 | +$226 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 7.6K | 92¢ | 97¢ | $7,431 | +$409 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 6K | 95¢ | 98¢ | $5,892 | +$192 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 5.6K | 96¢ | 99¢ | $5,515 | +$181 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | $5,019 | +$276 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5.1K | 91¢ | 95¢ | $4,804 | +$200 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | No | 4.4K | 97¢ | 99¢ | $4,394 | +$87 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $3,891 | +$104 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 3.6K | 91¢ | 97¢ | $3,464 | +$235 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.5K | 97¢ | 98¢ | $3,434 | +$49 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.4K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $3,329 | +$86 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 3K | 94¢ | 94¢ | $2,820 | $0 |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.8K | 92¢ | 97¢ | $2,726 | +$148 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 2.6K | 96¢ | 97¢ | $2,470 | +$11 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 8K | 92¢ | 30¢ | $2,397 | -$4,953 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 2.4K | 89¢ | 95¢ | $2,280 | +$135 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $2,183 | +$43 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 2K | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1,949 | +$96 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 2K | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1,890 | +$150 |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | No | 1.9K | 90¢ | 97¢ | $1,808 | +$129 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 3.4K | 84¢ | 51¢ | $1,752 | -$1,128 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.6K | 94¢ | 96¢ | $1,510 | +$35 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.3K | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1,231 | +$62 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | No | 1.4K | 87¢ | 85¢ | $1,221 | -$35 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.2K | 93¢ | 93¢ | $1,144 | +$4 |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.2K | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1,134 | +$36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1,105 | +$12 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1,104 | +$8 |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | 93¢ | 98¢ | $985 | +$55 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | 90¢ | 91¢ | $910 | +$10 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 1K | 89¢ | 90¢ | $895 | +$5 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 911 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $891 | +$13 |
| Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 822 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $815 | +$1 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 841.5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $807 | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | No | 800 | 88¢ | 92¢ | $736 | +$34 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | Yes | 750 | 87¢ | 98¢ | $735 | +$83 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 550 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $541 | +$9 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 552.6 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $538 | +$10 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 500 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $477 | +$22 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 498.2 | 95¢ | 95¢ | $474 | -$1 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 500 | 91¢ | 88¢ | $438 | -$18 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | No | 450 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $432 | +$2 |
| Will Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 437.3 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $420 | +$0 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 420 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $415 | +$13 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 394.9 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $389 | +$20 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 374.6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $367 | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 371.7 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $360 | +$15 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | Yes | 300 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $291 | +$9 |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | No | 266 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $259 | +$9 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 250 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $242 | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 248.5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $238 | +$1 |
| SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | No | 245.9 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $236 | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 231.3 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $224 | +$10 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | Yes | 194.3 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $192 | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 160.9 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $155 | +$4 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 152.4 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $147 | +$9 |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 179 | 83¢ | 80¢ | $142 | -$6 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 126.2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $121 | +$3 |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | Yes | 128.1 | 94¢ | 93¢ | $119 | -$1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | No | 122 | 93¢ | 94¢ | $114 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? | No | 2.5K | 95¢ | 4.3¢ | $109 | -$2,266 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | No | 113.2 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $107 | +$1 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $107 | +$7 |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 100 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $97 | +$2 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $96 | +$5 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $95 | +$2 |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 101 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $95 | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 100 | 70¢ | 95¢ | $95 | +$25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 85¢ | 96¢ | $92 | +$11 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 90 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $87 | +$4 |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | Yes | 68.1 | 98¢ | 96¢ | $65 | -$2 |
| Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026? | No | 70 | 90¢ | 87¢ | $61 | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? | No | 60 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $56 | +$2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | No | 50 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $48 | +$2 |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027? | No | 40 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $39 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? | Yes | 1.5K | 95¢ | 2.5¢ | $38 | -$1,387 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 92¢ | $37 | -$0 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 166.5 | 94¢ | 20¢ | $33 | -$123 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | No | 22 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $22 | +$0 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | No | 1.4K | 75¢ | 1.5¢ | $21 | -$1,027 |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1 |
| Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | No | 20 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $19 | +$1 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | No | 15 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $15 | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47 | 40¢ | 19¢ | $9 | -$10 |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027? | No | 10 | 78¢ | 75¢ | $7 | -$0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | No | 5 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $5 | +$0 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | Yes | 604 | 63¢ | 0.5¢ | $3 | -$379 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 610.8 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$558 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.3K | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,871 |