Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,156·Volume $4,800·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$930 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢98¢at 20:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,156
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $930 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $930 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $933 |