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Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $84.8K·Volume $385.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:44computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$44.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,327
72h +$3,315
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 11:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$84.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $44.5K riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,327, +$3,315 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:44
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agothoodrMidBuyNo97¢$1,164
10h agothoodrMidBuyNo97¢$1,164
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$990
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$971
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$0
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$0
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$952
3d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$274
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$10
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$10
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$10
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$7
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$10
4d agostupid22MidBuyNo96¢$5