Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,026·Volume $15.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
89%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,578 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢97¢at 19:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,026
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,578 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,578 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.