Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $37.8K·Volume $33.4K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$9,451 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,870
72h +$3,870
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$37.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $9,451 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,870, +$3,870 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,940 |
| 6h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,940 |
| 9h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $100 |
| 4d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $197 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $130 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $68 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $57 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $22 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $198 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $285 |
| 4d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $78 |
| 4d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $188 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,423 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $66 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $27 |
| 5d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,478 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $60 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $940 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $292 |
| 5d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,999 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $110 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $200 |