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Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $37.8K·Volume $33.4K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:26computed 2h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$9,451 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,870
72h +$3,870
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$37.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $9,451 riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,870, +$3,870 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6h agothoodrMidBuyNo97¢$1,940
6h agothoodrMidBuyNo97¢$1,940
9h agopbshineMidSellYes3.5¢$0
12h agopbshineMidSellYes3.5¢$28
4d agopbshineMidBuyYes5.0¢$100
4d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$197
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$130
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$0
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$0
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$68
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$57
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$22
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$198
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$0
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$0
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo95¢$285
4d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$78
4d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$188
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$1,423
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$66
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$27
5d agothoodrMidBuyNo94¢$1,478
5d agopbshineMidBuyYes6.0¢$60
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$13
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$13
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$940
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$47
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo93¢$292
5d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo94¢$1,999
5d agopbshineMidBuyYes11¢$110
5d agopbshineMidBuyYes20¢$200