US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $54.6K·Volume $2.7M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
85%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$16.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢97¢at 06:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$54.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $16.3K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $16.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $40 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $3,582 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $289 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,447 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $3,069 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $14 |
| 3w ago | Trump2028Top | Sell | No | 96¢ | $10,253 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,476 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $519 |
| 4w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $4,800 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $177 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $425 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,750 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $300 |
| 7w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $3,068 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $186 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $100 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $47 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $6 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $16 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $8 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $940 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $930 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $20 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $188 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,623 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |