Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $43.3K·Volume $44.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,243 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢98¢at 11:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$43.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,243 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,243 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $185 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $46 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $86 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $28 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $183 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $365 |
| 10w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $183 |
| 10w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 12w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $45 |
| 12w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,084 |
| 12w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 12w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $731 |