Will Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,118·Volume $1,153·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$420 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢96¢at 07:38(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,118
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $420 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $420 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $420 |