| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 26K | 87¢ | 86¢ | $22,447 | -$92 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17K | 72¢ | 99¢ | $16,800 | +$4,500 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | No | 14.2K | 88¢ | 95¢ | $13,490 | +$1,002 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 14.5K | 85¢ | 88¢ | $12,791 | +$390 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.9K | 86¢ | 89¢ | $12,320 | +$287 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 9.9K | 67¢ | 68¢ | $6,695 | +$84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 6.8K | 89¢ | 92¢ | $6,227 | +$191 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 8.9K | 66¢ | 67¢ | $5,966 | +$138 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | No | 6.8K | 75¢ | 79¢ | $5,393 | +$308 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.7K | 70¢ | 78¢ | $5,183 | +$497 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11.4K | 45¢ | 45¢ | $5,178 | +$20 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.6K | 85¢ | 92¢ | $5,114 | +$405 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 5.8K | 91¢ | 88¢ | $5,089 | -$119 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 10.5K | 82¢ | 48¢ | $5,083 | -$3,536 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 5K | 71¢ | 99¢ | $4,980 | +$1,386 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.2K | 60¢ | 61¢ | $4,947 | +$34 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 5.3K | 83¢ | 90¢ | $4,784 | +$329 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 4.3K | 77¢ | 95¢ | $4,137 | +$783 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 4.5K | 90¢ | 87¢ | $3,913 | -$111 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.1K | 93¢ | 94¢ | $3,819 | +$35 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.8K | 39¢ | 40¢ | $3,464 | +$52 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 3.9K | 83¢ | 86¢ | $3,322 | +$126 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 3.4K | 79¢ | 88¢ | $2,976 | +$314 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | 89¢ | 93¢ | $2,764 | +$98 |
| Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.7K | 91¢ | 92¢ | $2,478 | +$30 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 2.4K | 88¢ | 98¢ | $2,352 | +$239 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.8K | 40¢ | 38¢ | $2,208 | -$93 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 2.6K | 68¢ | 80¢ | $2,081 | +$329 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.3K | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1,956 | +$12 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.8K | 75¢ | 96¢ | $1,714 | +$371 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 1.8K | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1,502 | +$22 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 4.2K | 40¢ | 33¢ | $1,400 | -$257 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1,376 | +$138 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 1.9K | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1,328 | +$16 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1,112 | +$96 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | No | 861.8 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $801 | +$25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 868.9 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $743 | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 724.1 | 84¢ | 97¢ | $705 | +$95 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 768.1 | 77¢ | 84¢ | $649 | +$59 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 558.3 | 66¢ | 97¢ | $541 | +$173 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 720.9 | 56¢ | 69¢ | $494 | +$89 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 454.9 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $425 | +$27 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | Yes | 4.1K | 88¢ | 8.0¢ | $328 | -$3,292 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 3.4K | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | $254 | -$282 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 277 | 73¢ | 84¢ | $234 | +$31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 1.5K | 36¢ | 14¢ | $224 | -$326 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 160.9 | 76¢ | 75¢ | $121 | -$0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 77.8 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $72 | +$13 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 78 | 84¢ | 89¢ | $70 | +$4 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 85.9 | 47¢ | 64¢ | $55 | +$14 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 29 | 58¢ | 87¢ | $25 | +$9 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 75.4 | 65¢ | 28¢ | $21 | -$27 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.1 | 83¢ | 96¢ | $15 | +$2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | No | 13.8 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $13 | +$1 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 14.5 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $13 | +$0 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | Yes | 19.1 | 29¢ | 28¢ | $5 | -$0 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 17.1 | 66¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 0.2 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 367.4 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$250 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 35.8 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 55.5 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 288.4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$81 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.7K | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,403 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,928 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.3 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 6.9K | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,625 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 25.4 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,053 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 952.4 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$483 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 34.2K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23.7K |