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MidPolymarket
0x04560ce4285463cfddd87a334618beb15399c88a
Tracking since Nov 11, 2026 · bankroll $60.9K
Quality score
0.584
Goodas of Nov 13, 2026
PnL 30d
+$173
PnL 90d
+$1,378
ROI 90d
+5%
on $26.9K deployed
Entry edge
50%
105 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$221.5K
3615 trades
Breadth 90d
543
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 03:50
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes13.6K81¢95¢$13,018+$1,962
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes11.3K81¢96¢$10,792+$1,687
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes9.7K80¢95¢$9,261+$1,499
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No6K87¢93¢$5,570+$371
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes4.8K87¢95¢$4,503+$350
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?Yes3.5K90¢96¢$3,381+$216
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2.1K96¢98¢$2,036+$55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes2.9K70¢69¢$2,003-$27
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No934.179¢91¢$850+$114
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Yes1.4K51¢51¢$732-$9
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?Yes797.378¢83¢$659+$35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No44594¢98¢$438+$22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes446.993¢95¢$427+$11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No425.395¢97¢$414+$12
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No5.6K20¢6.0¢$338-$768
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No29089¢96¢$277+$19
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No25773¢90¢$230+$42
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No21092¢95¢$201+$7
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Yes20089¢98¢$195+$18
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic20094¢98¢$195+$7
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No20093¢97¢$194+$8
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?Yes20072¢96¢$192+$48
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes20090¢93¢$186+$6
Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?Yes190.193¢97¢$184+$8
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No168.892¢97¢$163+$7
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes1.7K80¢9.5¢$162-$1,200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes2.8K22¢5.5¢$151-$468
Iran Nuke before 2027?No15096¢98¢$148+$3
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?No12095¢98¢$117+$3
Trump out as President before 2027?No12095¢97¢$117+$3
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?No12097¢96¢$116-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No10095¢99¢$99+$4
US x China Military clash before 2027?No10096¢98¢$98+$2
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?Yes10092¢98¢$98+$6
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No10091¢97¢$97+$6
Will Candidate A be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No10098¢95¢$95-$3
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC before January 2027?No9296¢99¢$91+$2
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes8282¢97¢$79+$12
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No8093¢97¢$78+$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No7193¢98¢$70+$4
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes7093¢99¢$69+$4
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No7093¢98¢$68+$4
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No71.193¢96¢$68+$2
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No10067¢65¢$65-$1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes90.368¢63¢$56-$5
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No6089¢92¢$55+$2
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes17081¢32¢$54-$84
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes5.3K5.9¢1.0¢$53-$263
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes5095¢99¢$50+$2
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?No5092¢99¢$50+$4
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No5195¢97¢$50+$1
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5088¢99¢$50+$6
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No5093¢99¢$49+$3
New pandemic in 2026?No5094¢99¢$49+$2
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Yes5095¢98¢$49+$2
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No5094¢98¢$49+$2
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?Yes5093¢98¢$49+$2
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No5082¢97¢$49+$8
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No5091¢97¢$49+$3
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No5090¢97¢$49+$4
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5092¢97¢$48+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No5093¢96¢$48+$2
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?Yes5054¢94¢$47+$20
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?Yes5068¢94¢$47+$13
Will Kevin Durant be traded before the 2027 NBA trade deadline?No5081¢85¢$43+$2
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No4087¢96¢$38+$3
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No4095¢95¢$38-$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?No41.192¢91¢$38-$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No4088¢93¢$37+$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No3891¢96¢$37+$2
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No3592¢98¢$34+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No34.993¢98¢$34+$2
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No3592¢96¢$33+$1
Will Elon Musk join Trump at APEC in China?Yes35.786¢92¢$33+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes5574¢60¢$33-$8
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No34.492¢95¢$33+$1
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No3592¢91¢$32-$0
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?No3385¢92¢$30+$2
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No3097¢99¢$30+$1
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?No3093¢98¢$29+$1
Yoon out of custody before 2027?No3092¢98¢$29+$2
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?No3093¢98¢$29+$1
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?No4085¢73¢$29-$5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No3093¢97¢$29+$1
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?Yes3089¢95¢$29+$2
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No3082¢95¢$28+$4
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No3087¢94¢$28+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No3092¢94¢$28+$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No3076¢85¢$25+$3
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes3093¢84¢$25-$3
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No3083¢84¢$25+$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?No25.296¢98¢$25+$1
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No2594¢98¢$25+$1
Ledger IPO before 2027?No25.190¢94¢$24+$1
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No2572¢93¢$23+$5
ByteDance IPO before 2027?No21.290¢97¢$21+$2
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes25.885¢80¢$21-$1
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No2093¢98¢$20+$1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No2080¢98¢$20+$4
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No2092¢98¢$20+$1
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?No2095¢98¢$20+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No2090¢98¢$20+$2
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?No2087¢98¢$20+$2
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No2089¢98¢$20+$2
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No2089¢97¢$19+$2
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No2093¢97¢$19+$1
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No2093¢96¢$19+$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No2090¢95¢$19+$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?No2090¢95¢$19+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes2091¢94¢$19+$1
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No2087¢89¢$18+$0
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No2095¢87¢$17-$2
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes6537¢24¢$16-$8
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1684¢93¢$15+$1
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No1582¢98¢$15+$2
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No1588¢97¢$15+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?No1597¢95¢$14-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No1592¢94¢$14+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?No1590¢92¢$14+$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No1393¢98¢$13+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No12.187¢96¢$12+$1
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes3064¢34¢$10-$9
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?No1093¢99¢$10+$1
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1093¢98¢$10+$1
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1093¢98¢$10+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1093¢98¢$10+$1
US recession by end of 2026?No1092¢98¢$10+$1
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?No1091¢97¢$10+$1
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1093¢97¢$10+$0
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No1092¢97¢$10+$0
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No1091¢95¢$9+$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No1083¢93¢$9+$1
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No1079¢93¢$9+$1
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?No1087¢92¢$9+$1
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?No1080¢92¢$9+$1
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?No1091¢91¢$9+$0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?No9.681¢93¢$9+$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?No1078¢87¢$9+$1
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No8.297¢99¢$8+$0
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1091¢79¢$8-$1
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?No865¢97¢$8+$3
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes4.1K0.4¢0.1¢$6-$8
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Yes10013¢5.5¢$5-$8
Maduro guilty of all counts?No873¢65¢$5-$1
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No593¢98¢$5+$0
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?No585¢98¢$5+$1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No589¢98¢$5+$0
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?No589¢97¢$5+$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No592¢96¢$5+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No582¢93¢$5+$1
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?No594¢93¢$5-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No571¢84¢$4+$1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No4.293¢98¢$4+$0
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No2.791¢95¢$3+$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No15086¢0.9¢$1-$127
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes1584¢8.5¢$1-$11
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Yes3098¢1.8¢$1-$29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No0.595¢98¢$0+$0
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1006.9¢0.4¢$0-$6
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes5085¢0.5¢$0-$42
Will Trump leave China before November 18?Yes3050¢0.4¢$0-$15
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?No693¢0.0¢$0-$6
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?No9037¢0.0¢$0-$33
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No1030¢0.0¢$0-$3
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No503.2¢0.0¢$0-$2
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No528¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No524¢0.0¢$0-$1
Paris curfew by October 19?No3094¢0.0¢$0-$28
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?No1538¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No8.7K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No1.8K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No10092¢0.0¢$0-$92
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?No3081¢0.0¢$0-$24
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No2080¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No2096¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2095¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Emiliano Martinez join Chelsea?No12071¢0.0¢$0-$85
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?Yes2053¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes591¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes2079¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes994.91.2¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No1K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$9
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo5001.4¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5088¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Yes1065¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?Yes5.860¢0.0¢$0-$3