Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $18.6K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes23%No77%
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
80%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,171 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,231
Smart money entered67¢77¢at 04:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $2,171 riding on it.
The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,171 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,231 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:16