Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $123.8K·Volume $868.7K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No92%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$15.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,801
Smart money entered90¢92¢at 07:41(69% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$123.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $15.6K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 69% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $15.6K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,801 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,204 |
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,204 |
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 3d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $500 |
| 5d ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $706 |
| 5d ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $901 |
| 6d ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1,130 |
| 1w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $5,365 |
| 1w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $666 |
| 1w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $925 |
| 1w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1,217 |
| 1w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1,831 |
| 2w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 2w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $2,969 |
| 2w ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $27,816 |
| 2w ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,184 |
| 4w ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $29 |
| 9w ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $8 |
| 12w ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $20 |