| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 90K | 50¢ | 83¢ | $74,385 | +$29.4K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90K | 50¢ | 17¢ | $15,615 | -$29.4K |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 222.2K | 1.6¢ | 2.8¢ | $6,333 | +$2,872 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.4K | 75¢ | 78¢ | $2,671 | +$93 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.7K | 38¢ | 88¢ | $2,387 | +$1,348 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.9K | 14¢ | 16¢ | $1,750 | +$250 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | Yes | 1.6K | 86¢ | 98¢ | $1,573 | +$197 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.6K | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1,559 | +$158 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.9K | 38¢ | 71¢ | $1,320 | +$621 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.3K | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1,020 | +$121 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? | Yes | 975.9 | 69¢ | 98¢ | $953 | +$284 |
| Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 48¢ | 60¢ | $820 | +$171 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 729.2 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $720 | +$21 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1K | 30¢ | 67¢ | $695 | +$381 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | Yes | 700 | 30¢ | 99¢ | $695 | +$485 |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 882.7 | 57¢ | 73¢ | $649 | +$149 |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 652.9 | 68¢ | 97¢ | $636 | +$191 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 625.1 | 53¢ | 99¢ | $616 | +$287 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 616 | 33¢ | 98¢ | $601 | +$400 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 603 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $594 | +$31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 866.4 | 58¢ | 69¢ | $593 | +$93 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100K | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $550 | +$150 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? | Yes | 542.4 | 79¢ | 98¢ | $531 | +$101 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 520.9 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $498 | +$24 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | Yes | 1.4K | 37¢ | 33¢ | $467 | -$50 |
| Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 454.5 | 65¢ | 91¢ | $414 | +$118 |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 802.1 | 62¢ | 49¢ | $397 | -$103 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? | Yes | 412.5 | 62¢ | 95¢ | $394 | +$139 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 364.6 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $360 | +$24 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 15¢ | 13¢ | $299 | -$26 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 53¢ | 99¢ | $298 | +$139 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 13¢ | 13¢ | $291 | -$9 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 294.1 | 34¢ | 87¢ | $256 | +$156 |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | No | 321.1 | 39¢ | 79¢ | $254 | +$127 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | No | 264.4 | 82¢ | 95¢ | $250 | +$32 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 305 | 59¢ | 79¢ | $241 | +$60 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 311.3 | 73¢ | 77¢ | $238 | +$10 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 269.1 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $237 | +$8 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 258.2 | 70¢ | 69¢ | $179 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 194.5 | 77¢ | 87¢ | $170 | +$21 |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 231 | 65¢ | 72¢ | $166 | +$17 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 223 | 68¢ | 70¢ | $157 | +$5 |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 242.1 | 59¢ | 65¢ | $156 | +$13 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 173.5 | 75¢ | 89¢ | $154 | +$25 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 192.3 | 77¢ | 79¢ | $151 | +$3 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 547.3 | 19¢ | 25¢ | $140 | +$34 |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 55.2K | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $138 | +$28 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027? | No | 276.7 | 60¢ | 48¢ | $133 | -$33 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 226.5 | 58¢ | 59¢ | $132 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 40% or more? | Yes | 282.3 | 39¢ | 45¢ | $127 | +$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | Yes | 128.4 | 37¢ | 96¢ | $124 | +$76 |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? | Yes | 125 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $121 | +$21 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.6K | 6.9¢ | 4.6¢ | $121 | -$59 |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 332.7 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $115 | +$1 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 175.1 | 57¢ | 63¢ | $110 | +$11 |
| Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? | Yes | 98 | 50¢ | 98¢ | $96 | +$47 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | Yes | 916.7 | 14¢ | 11¢ | $96 | -$29 |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? | Yes | 83.3 | 60¢ | 95¢ | $79 | +$29 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 311.7 | 52¢ | 25¢ | $79 | -$83 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.2K | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | $71 | -$129 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 104.4 | 64¢ | 65¢ | $67 | +$0 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 150 | 39¢ | 44¢ | $66 | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31? | No | 180.6 | 31¢ | 34¢ | $61 | +$6 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 393.8 | 20¢ | 15¢ | $61 | -$18 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 500 | 13¢ | 12¢ | $60 | -$5 |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 58.7 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $58 | +$1 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | 7.6¢ | 4.9¢ | $57 | -$31 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 200 | 25¢ | 27¢ | $54 | +$4 |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? | Yes | 400 | 18¢ | 13¢ | $54 | -$20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | No | 60 | 39¢ | 88¢ | $53 | +$29 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 250 | 30¢ | 17¢ | $43 | -$31 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 42 | 55¢ | 98¢ | $41 | +$18 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 497.8 | 19¢ | 8.1¢ | $40 | -$54 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1K | 7.2¢ | 3.2¢ | $33 | -$41 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 49.2 | 60¢ | 63¢ | $31 | +$1 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | Yes | 142.9 | 35¢ | 18¢ | $26 | -$24 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 33¢ | 2.1¢ | $22 | -$308 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $21 | +$1 |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 65¢ | 80¢ | $16 | +$3 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 40 | 45¢ | 36¢ | $14 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 298.3 | 3.5¢ | 3.0¢ | $9 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | Yes | 428.6 | 35¢ | 1.0¢ | $4 | -$146 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | 62¢ | 3.3¢ | $3 | -$59 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 305.9 | 72¢ | 0.7¢ | $2 | -$220 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more? | Yes | 156 | 58¢ | 1.3¢ | $2 | -$89 |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 62.1 | 34¢ | 2.5¢ | $2 | -$20 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 78.9 | 84¢ | 1.9¢ | $1 | -$65 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | Yes | 659.1 | 45¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$298 |