Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $13.6K·Volume $29.8K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$3,804 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$229
72h -$167
Smart money entered64¢100¢at 02:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$13.6K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,804 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$229, -$167 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | ssddssdMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $229 |
| 1d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $39 |
| 6d ago | seal7Top | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $102 |
| 6d ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $23 |
| 6d ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $160 |
| 6d ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | seal7Top | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $202 |
| 1w ago | seal7Top | Sell | Yes | 75¢ | $467 |
| 1w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $2,403 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $245 |
| 2w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $120 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $120 |
| 3w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | twinnaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $1,174 |