Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $23.2K·Volume $78.0K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,784 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢100¢at 20:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,784 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,784 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $15 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $1,617 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $169 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $152 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $68 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $173 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $352 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $154 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | broskyeMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $94 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $251 |
| 2w ago | broskyeMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $52 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $53 |
| 3w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $154 |
| 3w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $340 |