Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?
ActiveLiquidity $10.6K·Volume $5,664·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$321 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered30¢98¢at 11:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $321 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 30¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $321 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $27 |
| 2w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $18 |
| 4w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $14 |
| 4w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $26 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $29 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $45 |
| 4w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $50 |
| 6w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $8 |