Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $1,336·Volume $3,805·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No52%
Smart money leans
No
51% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,152 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,540
Smart money entered43¢51¢at 02:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,336
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,152 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,152 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,540 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $166 |
| 2d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $166 |
| 2d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1,035 |