Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $15.5K·Volume $6,087·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes91%No10%
Smart money leans
Yes
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
66%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$295 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢91¢at 07:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$15.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Yes", with $295 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $295 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 9.7¢ | $90 |
| 6d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $300 |