Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $1,495·Volume $17.2K·Ends Jan 21, 2027
Price now:Yes27%No74%
Smart money leans
No
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$499 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered57¢74¢at 07:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 71d(Jan 21, 2027)Liquidity$1,495
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $499 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $499 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $71 |
| 3w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 56¢ | $235 |