Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $31.2K·Volume $75.0K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
75%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,059 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered77¢89¢at 02:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$31.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $1,059 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,059 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $50 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $75 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $973 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $82 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $40 |