| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.9K | 56¢ | 85¢ | $1,606 | +$542 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | 70¢ | 89¢ | $1,261 | +$269 |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 1.8K | 53¢ | 61¢ | $1,098 | +$136 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | Yes | 1.2K | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1,089 | +$65 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | No | 1.1K | 71¢ | 95¢ | $1,089 | +$271 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.2K | 69¢ | 90¢ | $1,051 | +$246 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | Amanda Nunes | 2.7K | 38¢ | 38¢ | $1,026 | +$6 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 35¢ | 46¢ | $1,021 | +$244 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 1.3K | 66¢ | 76¢ | $979 | +$131 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 41¢ | 69¢ | $959 | +$391 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.4K | 43¢ | 63¢ | $919 | +$294 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | No | 924 | 87¢ | 98¢ | $906 | +$106 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.2K | 43¢ | 73¢ | $844 | +$348 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 845.3 | 74¢ | 90¢ | $757 | +$130 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026? | No | 684.5 | 88¢ | 99¢ | $679 | +$79 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 709.9 | 85¢ | 92¢ | $652 | +$52 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 936.5 | 43¢ | 65¢ | $613 | +$213 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 599.3 | 67¢ | 93¢ | $554 | +$154 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1K | 58¢ | 52¢ | $545 | -$55 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? | Yes | 544.8 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $533 | +$33 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.9K | 17¢ | 18¢ | $520 | +$20 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 526.1 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $511 | +$11 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 594.7 | 70¢ | 84¢ | $503 | +$86 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Ciryl Gane | 738.4 | 65¢ | 65¢ | $484 | +$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes | 547.4 | 87¢ | 86¢ | $468 | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 891.8 | 34¢ | 51¢ | $455 | +$155 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? | Yes | 2K | 15¢ | 21¢ | $434 | +$124 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | No | 501.4 | 80¢ | 86¢ | $431 | +$31 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? | No | 703.3 | 64¢ | 58¢ | $411 | -$39 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 446 | 74¢ | 92¢ | $408 | +$78 |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | No | 454.1 | 67¢ | 85¢ | $388 | +$82 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 433.7 | 69¢ | 89¢ | $386 | +$86 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | Yes | 563.2 | 58¢ | 61¢ | $344 | +$17 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 363.4 | 76¢ | 92¢ | $334 | +$59 |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? | Yes | 347.3 | 81¢ | 94¢ | $326 | +$46 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? | No | 742.1 | 51¢ | 43¢ | $323 | -$57 |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 486.6 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $314 | +$14 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 3.9K | 36¢ | 7.5¢ | $293 | -$1,129 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 365.7 | 87¢ | 78¢ | $285 | -$35 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 303.4 | 65¢ | 92¢ | $279 | +$83 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes | 373.2 | 54¢ | 71¢ | $267 | +$67 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 345.6 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $257 | +$32 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 295 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $230 | +$30 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? | No | 630.6 | 85¢ | 34¢ | $213 | -$322 |
| Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? | No | 229.2 | 86¢ | 92¢ | $210 | +$12 |
| Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 15, 2026? | No | 222.3 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $209 | +$9 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 255.9 | 73¢ | 78¢ | $201 | +$14 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 194.8 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $186 | +$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? | No | 925.8 | 24¢ | 19¢ | $181 | -$44 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 162.2 | 81¢ | 98¢ | $159 | +$27 |
| Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 216.6 | 92¢ | 72¢ | $155 | -$45 |
| Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? | Yes | 680.8 | 51¢ | 22¢ | $153 | -$191 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 187 | 72¢ | 74¢ | $138 | +$3 |
| Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election? | No | 203.5 | 59¢ | 53¢ | $109 | -$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? | Yes | 121.3 | 82¢ | 87¢ | $106 | +$6 |
| Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November 30? | Yes | 108.4 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $105 | +$5 |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) | Uroš Medic | 169.5 | 59¢ | 59¢ | $101 | +$1 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | Yes | 800 | 12¢ | 12¢ | $96 | $0 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 131.6 | 76¢ | 70¢ | $92 | -$8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? | No | 244.1 | 41¢ | 37¢ | $92 | -$8 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 188.7 | 53¢ | 33¢ | $62 | -$38 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 687.5 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | $58 | -$52 |
| Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026? | No | 66.1 | 82¢ | 87¢ | $58 | +$4 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? | No | 61.4 | 81¢ | 91¢ | $56 | +$6 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2K | 7.4¢ | 2.7¢ | $55 | -$95 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $50 | -$50 |
| Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? | No | 44.3 | 81¢ | 81¢ | $36 | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | Yes | 609.1 | 11¢ | 3.1¢ | $19 | -$48 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 327.9 | 43¢ | 4.2¢ | $14 | -$126 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.3K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$190 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | No | 1K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$384 |